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Penrose method Totally Explained
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Everything about The Penrose Method totally explainedThe Penrose method is a method, devised in 1946 by Professor Lionel Penrose, for allocating seats or votes in legislatures based on the square root of the population of the representative's district or state. It has been proposed as a method for apportioning representation in a United Nations Parliamentary Assembly, and for voting in the Council of the European Union.
Recently, the Penrose method became revitalised, as it was proposed by Sweden in 2003 (negotiations on the Amsterdam Treaty) and Poland in 2007 (the June 2007 summit on the Treaty of Lisbon) as method of computing voting power of each state in the European Union. With modern computers, it's simple to calculate the threshold percentage which constitutes an appropriate "majority", for example what is referred to as the "Jagiellonian Compromise" .
Also many bodies do follow a similar method even though they don't refer to it for example Bundesrat of Germany votes allocation can be approximated as 2.01+Square_root (1.24 * land's population in millions). However this agreement with the Penrose method is accidental, therefore 4 (5 without constraints) out of 16 countries have one vote less than they ought to have according to the Penrose method. But it's an example where political processes converge to game theoretical results.
The UN proposal
According to INFUSA, "The square-root method is more than a pragmatic compromise between the extreme methods of world representation unrelated to population size and allocation of national quotas in direct proportion to population size; Penrose showed that in terms of statistical theory the square-root method gives to each voter in the world an equal influence on decision-making in a world assembly".
Under the Penrose method, the 14 most populous nations get fewer seats than they'd under one man, one vote; the other nations get more seats.
|
Population as of 2005-12-15 |
Percent of world population |
Seats |
Percent of total seats |
|
World |
6,434,577,575 |
100.00% |
721.32 |
100.00% |
| Rank |
Country |
|
| 1 |
People's Republic of China |
1,306,313,812 |
20.30% |
36.14 |
5.01% |
| 2 |
India |
1,080,264,388 |
16.79% |
32.87 |
4.56% |
| 3 |
United States |
297,200,000 |
4.62% |
17.24 |
2.39% |
| 4 |
Indonesia |
241,973,879 |
3.76% |
15.56 |
2.16% |
| 5 |
Brazil |
186,112,794 |
2.89% |
13.64 |
1.89% |
| 6 |
Pakistan |
162,419,946 |
2.52% |
12.74 |
1.77% |
| 7 |
Bangladesh |
144,319,628 |
2.24% |
12.01 |
1.67% |
| 8 |
Russia |
143,420,309 |
2.23% |
11.98 |
1.66% |
| 9 |
Nigeria |
128,771,988 |
2.00% |
11.35 |
1.57% |
| 10 |
Japan |
127,417,244 |
1.98% |
11.29 |
1.56% |
| 11 |
Mexico |
106,202,903 |
1.65% |
10.31 |
1.43% |
| 12 |
Philippines |
87,857,473 |
1.37% |
9.37 |
1.30% |
| 13 |
Vietnam |
83,535,576 |
1.30% |
9.14 |
1.27% |
| 14 |
Germany |
82,468,000 |
1.28% |
9.08 |
1.26% |
| 15 |
Egypt |
77,505,756 |
1.20% |
8.80 |
1.22% |
| 16 |
Ethiopia |
73,053,286 |
1.14% |
8.55 |
1.18% |
| 17 |
Turkey |
69,660,559 |
1.08% |
8.35 |
1.16% |
| 18 |
Iran |
68,017,860 |
1.06% |
8.25 |
1.14% |
| 19 |
Thailand |
65,444,371 |
1.02% |
8.09 |
1.12% |
| 20 |
France |
60,656,178 |
0.94% |
7.79 |
1.08% |
| 21 |
United Kingdom |
60,441,457 |
0.94% |
7.77 |
1.08% |
| 22 |
Democratic Republic of the Congo |
60,085,804 |
0.93% |
7.75 |
1.07% |
| 23 |
Italy |
58,103,033 |
0.90% |
7.62 |
1.06% |
| 24 |
South Korea |
48,422,644 |
0.75% |
6.96 |
0.96% |
| 25 |
Ukraine |
47,425,336 |
0.74% |
6.89 |
0.95% |
| 26 |
South Africa |
44,344,136 |
0.69% |
6.66 |
0.92% |
| 27 |
Spain |
43,209,511 |
0.67% |
6.57 |
0.91% |
| 28 |
Colombia |
42,954,279 |
0.67% |
6.55 |
0.91% |
| 29 |
Myanmar |
42,909,464 |
0.67% |
6.55 |
0.91% |
| 30 |
Sudan |
40,187,486 |
0.62% |
6.34 |
0.88% |
| 31 |
Argentina |
39,537,943 |
0.61% |
6.29 |
0.87% |
| 32 |
Poland |
38,635,144 |
0.60% |
6.22 |
0.86% |
| 33 |
Tanzania |
36,766,356 |
0.57% |
6.06 |
0.84% |
| 34 |
Kenya |
33,829,590 |
0.53% |
5.82 |
0.81% |
| 35 |
Canada |
32,400,000 |
0.50% |
5.69 |
0.79% |
| 36 |
Morocco |
32,725,847 |
0.51% |
5.72 |
0.79% |
| 37 |
Algeria |
32,531,853 |
0.51% |
5.70 |
0.79% |
| 38 |
Afghanistan |
29,928,987 |
0.47% |
5.47 |
0.76% |
| 39 |
Peru |
27,925,628 |
0.43% |
5.28 |
0.73% |
| 40 |
Nepal |
27,676,547 |
0.43% |
5.26 |
0.73% |
| 41 |
Uganda |
27,269,482 |
0.42% |
5.22 |
0.72% |
| 42 |
Uzbekistan |
26,851,195 |
0.42% |
5.18 |
0.72% |
| 43 |
Saudi Arabia |
26,417,599 |
0.41% |
5.14 |
0.71% |
| 44 |
Malaysia |
26,207,102 |
0.41% |
5.12 |
0.71% |
| 45 |
Iraq |
26,074,906 |
0.41% |
5.11 |
0.71% |
| 46 |
Venezuela |
25,375,281 |
0.39% |
5.04 |
0.70% |
| 47 |
North Korea |
22,912,177 |
0.36% |
4.79 |
0.66% |
| 48 |
Republic of China |
22,894,384 |
0.36% |
4.78 |
0.66% |
| 49 |
Romania |
22,329,977 |
0.35% |
4.73 |
0.66% |
| 50 |
Ghana |
21,029,853 |
0.33% |
4.59 |
0.64% |
| 51 |
Yemen |
20,727,063 |
0.32% |
4.55 |
0.63% |
| 52 |
Australia |
20,229,800 |
0.31% |
4.50 |
0.62% |
| 53 |
Sri Lanka |
20,064,776 |
0.31% |
4.48 |
0.62% |
| 54 |
Mozambique |
19,406,703 |
0.30% |
4.41 |
0.61% |
| 55 |
Syria |
18,448,752 |
0.29% |
4.30 |
0.60% |
| 56 |
Madagascar |
18,040,341 |
0.28% |
4.25 |
0.59% |
| 57 |
Côte d'Ivoire |
17,298,040 |
0.27% |
4.16 |
0.58% |
| 58 |
Netherlands |
16,407,491 |
0.25% |
4.05 |
0.56% |
| 59 |
Cameroon |
16,380,005 |
0.25% |
4.05 |
0.56% |
| 60 |
Chile |
16,267,278 |
0.25% |
4.03 |
0.56% |
| 61 |
Kazakhstan |
15,185,844 |
0.24% |
3.90 |
0.54% |
| 62 |
Guatemala |
14,655,189 |
0.23% |
3.83 |
0.53% |
| 63 |
Burkina Faso |
13,925,313 |
0.22% |
3.73 |
0.52% |
| 64 |
Cambodia |
13,607,069 |
0.21% |
3.69 |
0.51% |
| 65 |
Ecuador |
13,363,593 |
0.21% |
3.66 |
0.51% |
| 66 |
Zimbabwe |
12,746,990 |
0.20% |
3.57 |
0.49% |
| 67 |
Mali |
12,291,529 |
0.19% |
3.51 |
0.49% |
| 68 |
Malawi |
12,158,924 |
0.19% |
3.49 |
0.48% |
| 69 |
Niger |
11,665,937 |
0.18% |
3.42 |
0.47% |
| 70 |
Cuba |
11,346,670 |
0.18% |
3.37 |
0.47% |
| 71 |
Zambia |
11,261,795 |
0.18% |
3.36 |
0.47% |
| 72 |
Angola |
11,190,786 |
0.17% |
3.35 |
0.46% |
| 73 |
Senegal |
11,126,832 |
0.17% |
3.34 |
0.46% |
| 74 |
Serbia and Montenegro |
10,829,175 |
0.17% |
3.29 |
0.46% |
| 75 |
Greece |
10,668,354 |
0.17% |
3.27 |
0.45% |
| 76 |
Portugal |
10,566,212 |
0.16% |
3.25 |
0.45% |
| 77 |
Belgium |
10,364,388 |
0.16% |
3.22 |
0.45% |
| 78 |
Belarus |
10,300,483 |
0.16% |
3.21 |
0.44% |
| 79 |
Czech Republic |
10,241,138 |
0.16% |
3.20 |
0.44% |
| 80 |
Hungary |
10,081,000 |
0.16% |
3.18 |
0.44% |
| 81 |
Tunisia |
10,074,951 |
0.16% |
3.17 |
0.44% |
| 82 |
Chad |
9,826,419 |
0.15% |
3.13 |
0.43% |
| 83 |
Guinea |
9,467,866 |
0.15% |
3.08 |
0.43% |
| 84 |
Sweden |
9,001,774 |
0.14% |
3.00 |
0.42% |
| 85 |
Dominican Republic |
8,950,034 |
0.14% |
2.99 |
0.41% |
| 86 |
Bolivia |
8,857,870 |
0.14% |
2.98 |
0.41% |
| 87 |
Somalia |
8,591,629 |
0.13% |
2.93 |
0.41% |
| 88 |
Rwanda |
8,440,820 |
0.13% |
2.91 |
0.40% |
| 89 |
Austria |
8,184,691 |
0.13% |
2.86 |
0.40% |
| 90 |
Haiti |
8,121,622 |
0.13% |
2.85 |
0.40% |
| 91 |
Azerbaijan |
7,911,974 |
0.12% |
2.81 |
0.39% |
| 92 |
Switzerland |
7,489,370 |
0.12% |
2.74 |
0.38% |
| 93 |
Benin |
7,460,025 |
0.12% |
2.73 |
0.38% |
| 94 |
Bulgaria |
7,450,349 |
0.12% |
2.73 |
0.38% |
| 95 |
Tajikistan |
7,163,506 |
0.11% |
2.68 |
0.37% |
| 96 |
Honduras |
6,975,204 |
0.11% |
2.64 |
0.37% |
| 97 |
Israel |
6,955,000 |
0.11% |
2.64 |
0.37% |
| 98 |
El Salvador |
6,704,932 |
0.10% |
2.59 |
0.36% |
| 99 |
Burundi |
6,370,609 |
0.10% |
2.52 |
0.35% |
| 100 |
Paraguay |
6,347,884 |
0.10% |
2.52 |
0.35% |
| 101 |
Laos |
6,217,141 |
0.10% |
2.49 |
0.35% |
| 102 |
Sierra Leone |
6,017,643 |
0.09% |
2.45 |
0.34% |
| 103 |
Libya |
5,765,563 |
0.09% |
2.40 |
0.33% |
| 104 |
Jordan |
5,759,732 |
0.09% |
2.40 |
0.33% |
| 105 |
Togo |
5,681,519 |
0.09% |
2.38 |
0.33% |
| 106 |
Papua New Guinea |
5,545,268 |
0.09% |
2.35 |
0.33% |
| 107 |
Nicaragua |
5,465,100 |
0.08% |
2.34 |
0.32% |
| 108 |
Denmark |
5,432,335 |
0.08% |
2.33 |
0.32% |
| 109 |
Slovakia |
5,431,363 |
0.08% |
2.33 |
0.32% |
| 110 |
Finland |
5,223,442 |
0.08% |
2.29 |
0.32% |
| 111 |
Kyrgyzstan |
5,146,281 |
0.08% |
2.27 |
0.31% |
| 112 |
Turkmenistan |
4,952,081 |
0.08% |
2.23 |
0.31% |
| 113 |
Georgia |
4,677,401 |
0.07% |
2.16 |
0.30% |
| 114 |
Norway |
4,593,041 |
0.07% |
2.14 |
0.30% |
| 115 |
Eritrea |
4,561,599 |
0.07% |
2.14 |
0.30% |
| 116 |
Croatia |
4,495,904 |
0.07% |
2.12 |
0.29% |
| 117 |
Moldova |
4,455,421 |
0.07% |
2.11 |
0.29% |
| 118 |
Singapore |
4,425,720 |
0.07% |
2.10 |
0.29% |
| 119 |
Republic of Ireland |
4,130,700 |
0.06% |
2.03 |
0.28% |
| 120 |
New Zealand |
4,098,200 |
0.06% |
2.02 |
0.28% |
| 121 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina |
4,025,476 |
0.06% |
2.01 |
0.28% |
| 122 |
Costa Rica |
4,016,173 |
0.06% |
2.00 |
0.28% |
| 123 |
Lebanon |
3,826,018 |
0.06% |
1.96 |
0.27% |
| 124 |
Central African Republic |
3,799,897 |
0.06% |
1.95 |
0.27% |
| 125 |
Lithuania |
3,596,617 |
0.06% |
1.90 |
0.26% |
| 126 |
Albania |
3,563,112 |
0.06% |
1.89 |
0.26% |
| 127 |
Liberia |
3,482,211 |
0.05% |
1.87 |
0.26% |
| 128 |
Uruguay |
3,415,920 |
0.05% |
1.85 |
0.26% |
| 129 |
Mauritania |
3,086,859 |
0.05% |
1.76 |
0.24% |
| 130 |
Panama |
3,039,150 |
0.05% |
1.74 |
0.24% |
| 131 |
Republic of the Congo |
3,039,126 |
0.05% |
1.74 |
0.24% |
| 132 |
Oman |
3,001,583 |
0.05% |
1.73 |
0.24% |
| 133 |
Armenia |
2,982,904 |
0.05% |
1.73 |
0.24% |
| 134 |
Mongolia |
2,791,272 |
0.04% |
1.67 |
0.23% |
| 135 |
Jamaica |
2,731,832 |
0.04% |
1.65 |
0.23% |
| 136 |
United Arab Emirates |
2,563,212 |
0.04% |
1.60 |
0.22% |
| 137 |
Kuwait |
2,335,648 |
0.04% |
1.53 |
0.21% |
| 138 |
Latvia |
2,290,237 |
0.04% |
1.51 |
0.21% |
| 139 |
Bhutan |
2,232,291 |
0.03% |
1.49 |
0.21% |
| 140 |
Macedonia |
2,045,262 |
0.03% |
1.43 |
0.20% |
| 141 |
Namibia |
2,030,692 |
0.03% |
1.43 |
0.20% |
| 142 |
Slovenia |
2,011,070 |
0.03% |
1.42 |
0.20% |
| 143 |
Lesotho |
1,867,035 |
0.03% |
1.37 |
0.19% |
| 144 |
Botswana |
1,640,115 |
0.03% |
1.28 |
0.18% |
| 145 |
The Gambia |
1,593,256 |
0.02% |
1.26 |
0.17% |
| 146 |
Guinea-Bissau |
1,416,027 |
0.02% |
1.19 |
0.16% |
| 147 |
Gabon |
1,389,201 |
0.02% |
1.18 |
0.16% |
| 148 |
Estonia |
1,332,893 |
0.02% |
1.15 |
0.16% |
| 149 |
Mauritius |
1,230,602 |
0.02% |
1.11 |
0.15% |
| 150 |
Swaziland |
1,173,900 |
0.02% |
1.08 |
0.15% |
| 151 |
Trinidad and Tobago |
1,088,644 |
0.02% |
1.04 |
0.14% |
| 152 |
East Timor |
1,040,880 |
0.02% |
1.02 |
0.14% |
| 153 |
Fiji |
893,354 |
0.01% |
0.95 |
0.13% |
| 154 |
Qatar |
863,051 |
0.01% |
0.93 |
0.13% |
| 155 |
Cyprus |
780,133 |
0.01% |
0.88 |
0.12% |
| 156 |
Guyana |
765,283 |
0.01% |
0.87 |
0.12% |
| 157 |
Bahrain |
688,345 |
0.01% |
0.83 |
0.12% |
| 158 |
Comoros |
671,247 |
0.01% |
0.82 |
0.11% |
| 159 |
Solomon Islands |
538,032 |
0.01% |
0.73 |
0.10% |
| 160 |
Equatorial Guinea |
535,881 |
0.01% |
0.73 |
0.10% |
| 161 |
Djibouti |
476,703 |
0.01% |
0.69 |
0.10% |
| 162 |
Luxembourg |
468,571 |
0.01% |
0.68 |
0.09% |
| 163 |
Suriname |
438,144 |
0.01% |
0.66 |
0.09% |
| 164 |
Cape Verde |
418,224 |
0.01% |
0.65 |
0.09% |
| 165 |
Malta |
398,534 |
0.01% |
0.63 |
0.09% |
| 166 |
Brunei |
372,361 |
0.01% |
0.61 |
0.08% |
| 167 |
Maldives |
349,106 |
0.01% |
0.59 |
0.08% |
| 168 |
The Bahamas |
301,790 |
0.005% |
0.55 |
0.08% |
| 169 |
Iceland |
296,737 |
0.005% |
0.54 |
0.08% |
| 170 |
Belize |
279,457 |
0.004% |
0.53 |
0.07% |
| 171 |
Barbados |
279,254 |
0.004% |
0.53 |
0.07% |
| 172 |
Vanuatu |
205,754 |
0.003% |
0.45 |
0.06% |
| 173 |
São Tomé and Príncipe |
187,410 |
0.003% |
0.43 |
0.06% |
| 174 |
Samoa |
177,287 |
0.003% |
0.42 |
0.06% |
| 175 |
Saint Lucia |
166,312 |
0.003% |
0.41 |
0.06% |
| 176 |
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines |
117,534 |
0.002% |
0.34 |
0.05% |
| 177 |
Tonga |
112,422 |
0.002% |
0.34 |
0.05% |
| 178 |
Federated States of Micronesia |
108,105 |
0.002% |
0.33 |
0.05% |
| 179 |
Kiribati |
103,092 |
0.002% |
0.32 |
0.04% |
| 180 |
Grenada |
89,502 |
0.001% |
0.30 |
0.04% |
| 181 |
Seychelles |
81,188 |
0.001% |
0.28 |
0.04% |
| 182 |
Andorra |
70,549 |
0.001% |
0.27 |
0.04% |
| 183 |
Dominica |
69,029 |
0.001% |
0.26 |
0.04% |
| 184 |
Antigua and Barbuda |
68,722 |
0.001% |
0.26 |
0.04% |
| 185 |
Marshall Islands |
59,071 |
0.001% |
0.24 |
0.03% |
| 186 |
Saint Kitts and Nevis |
38,958 |
0.001% |
0.20 |
0.03% |
| 187 |
Liechtenstein |
33,717 |
0.001% |
0.18 |
0.03% |
| 188 |
Monaco |
32,409 |
0.001% |
0.18 |
0.02% |
| 189 |
San Marino |
28,880 |
0.0004% |
0.17 |
0.02% |
| 190 |
Palau |
20,303 |
0.0003% |
0.14 |
0.02% |
| 191 |
Nauru |
13,048 |
0.0002% |
0.11 |
0.02% |
| 192 |
Tuvalu |
11,636 |
0.0002% |
0.11 |
0.01% |
| 193 |
Vatican City |
921 |
0.00001% |
0.03 |
0.004% |
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